Palestine

Well I get why a war criminal would be afraid to stop committing genocide, the only way for Netanyahu to stay in power is to keep the lie and genocide going until Israel is met with catastrophic violent resistance that Netanyahu can point to and say "SEE, this is why we HAD to do a genocide".

Oldest dictator/strongman play in the book.

For an indirect metaphor, see how Assad retained power in Syria for much longer than seemed likely at first by prematurely labelling the resistance as ISIS and then brutalizing people in attempt to push them into extremist groups that could be used as PR to rationalize authoritarian control.