this post was submitted on 05 Apr 2025
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Automation and job replacement is a good thing. The reason it feels bad is because we've tied the ability to satisfy our basic needs to employment. In an economic model that actually isn't a dystopian hellscape, robots replacing jobs is something to celebrate.
And to switch our economic model to one in which a person can thrive without pissing the vast majority of our lives away on the grind; we just need to pull ourselves up by our bootstraps!
This is so important.
An aspect of post scarcity is that people shouldn't have to work. AGI might allow that; LLM is starting to fill some niches.
The problem is how it's being done. Rather than benefiting society as a whole, it's enriching a few. In an ideal world, people whose jobs are replaced should get a stipend. We should all be eagerly awaiting that time when our jobs are replaced and we get a paycheck - maybe a little reduced - but now we're free to pursue our interests. If that means doing your old job, only now it's bespoke, artisan work, great.
The other missing factors are free energy and limitless resources; but we're making progress on energy, but resources are an issue with no solution on the horizon. Plus, we're killing the planet by just existing, so there's that.
We have a lot of problems to solve but AI is part of the solution, except that it's being done wrong. And expensively.
There's also a conversation to be had about which jobs shouldn't be automated, either because current technology isn't suitable, or because it might never be suitable. And I'd say that pretty much everything that we are calling 'AI' right now falls under that - I'll say that robots are part of the solution, but I don't think 'AI' is.
Even if AI is, what we have now is mostly A with only the semblance of I. "Real" "AI" is not yet "real."
I agree. LLMs are not AGI. But there are some jobs they can do, and a lot of jobs they can assist.
But I think we're still another generation of apparent AI stagnation, maybe another 20-30 years, before someone figures out there next link; and that might be AGI.