this post was submitted on 09 Mar 2025
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A Boring Dystopia
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No offense, but I feel like if this is true at all, it's likely still at the very least misleading... I can't think of really any secondary sales markets in which the most important determination of value isn't one thing: Condition. (I'm sure there are plenty of arguments to be made for it to be trumped by rarity, but... Let's be realistic here - unless you're an archeologist it doesn't matter how well the pot's glaze holds its finish, if it amounts to nothing more than a few shards in the end, it's not going to be quite as awe inspiring as one perhaps more worn yet still intact.)
So, yeah, sure, your 30 year old vehicle could appreciate... Assuming you've managed to keep it in something near showroom condition, it hasn't suffered any major accidental/structural damage, and you not only did all the required/recommended services in a timely manner but also kept the records to prove it. (It also certainly wouldn't hurt you if that particular make/model ceased production, by any means, either, obviously.)
But I sincerely doubt your F-350 with X00k miles on it that needs a new motor mount and only has 2 knobs left on the console is gonna beat a decent, stable, and well managed index fund investment of the same amount. I'm more than willing to admit my mistake(s) if someone has evidence to the contrary, but I feel like this is another one of those lies 'temporarily embarrassed millionaires' tell themselves when they kick the can a bit further down the road of their inevitable prodigious wealth. ๐
So I bought a Challenger R/T with 14k miles on it five years ago. Just that bit of driving in less than a year brought the price down $10k from new. I have put almost 70k miles on it, and it's now worth $4k more than I paid for it.
For real, if you can get an old Ford truck from the nineties in good condition with low mileage it is probably a better investment than a 4% 401k match. My next door neighbor picked up a decent 90s Toyota truck that had been sitting in a barn for $1000. He is a mechanic so there's that, but I thought he made an excellent purchase. So what if it's missing some clear coat and has rust spots in non-critical locations on the body?
Do not buy a new car, ever! Currently having this argument with my wife.
The main value of a new vehicle is your time and peace of mind.
If you walk into a dealership and buy a brand new vehicle, with a five year warranty and a service plan, you have a very good idea what the next five years of driving will cost you, and you can be as certain as possible that the vehicle will be reliable.
Bangernomics makes sense until you factor in your time.
I'm talking something one year used with 10k miles on it will save you $10k+.
That's pretty expensive for the person who sold it to you, and in terms of peace of mind is the next best thing to buying a new one.
Hopefully anyone buying a new car understands that the second you drive it away it's losing 20% or more of its value.
Which is why you'd ideally keep it for a good few years.