this post was submitted on 27 Feb 2025
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Europe

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38
Can Europe confront Vladimir Putin’s Russia on its own? (www.economist.com)
submitted 6 months ago by misk@sopuli.xyz to c/europe@feddit.org
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In truth, it could take a decade before Europe is able to defend itself without America’s help. To understand Europe’s challenge, start with the debate over Ukraine. European countries are currently discussing the prospect of a military deployment in Ukraine to enforce any future peace deal. The talks, which are being led by France and Britain, envisage sending a relatively modest force, of perhaps low tens of thousands of troops. They would not be deployed in the east at the front line, but to Ukrainian cities, ports, nuclear power plants and other critical national infrastructure, according to a Western official.

Any such deployment would, however, expose three serious weaknesses. One is that it would stretch European forces thin. There are approximately 230 Russian and Ukrainian brigades in Ukraine, though most are understrength. Many European countries would struggle to produce one combat-capable brigade each. Second, it would open up serious gaps in Europe’s own defences. A British deployment to Ukraine, for instance, would probably swallow up units currently earmarked as high-readiness and reserve forces for nato, leaving holes in the alliance’s war plans. Above all, the Europeans acknowledge that any deployment would need significant American support not only in the form of specific “enablers”, such as intelligence and air-defence assets, but also the promise of back-up should Russia attack.

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[–] kitnaht@lemmy.world 9 points 6 months ago (3 children)

Europe has gotten complacent in thinking the US would always be their ally. They need to strengthen their military NOW instead of relying on the US as it's clear their connections can change on a whim.

[–] Maiq@lemy.lol 2 points 6 months ago (1 children)

As I see it EU has about three years before agent Krasnov starts his invasion. He needs this war to extend term limits and keep his power. Watch how over the next few years he dismantles our allied relationships and places the blame on the US old allies while removing anyone in the US that dares go against him installing yesmen in their place.

Putin is too weak to go against the EU alone. China is a wildcard. My guess is that russia, US, North Korea and China will form a new axis of evil within four years.

I hope I'm wrong and there is still so much that can happen in a few years. But If I was the EU I'd be getting ready.

[–] cronenthal@discuss.tchncs.de 2 points 6 months ago

China fully aligning with Russia is a stretch. That would be an incredibly fragile alliance.

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