this post was submitted on 12 Feb 2025
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Fine. I will ignore the blatant attempt to redirect the conversation ignoring everything I said, and simply ask you.
How are you trying to get away with saying that Ukraine can't recapture any territory with the West's help, when they did exactly that in 2022? Why are you ignoring Trump actively trying to sabotage Ukraine aid and risk the semi-stalemate turning into an outright loss, which is a pretty fuckin' salient difference and what he got impeached for? And also, presumably, what he is teeing up to do again by offering unacceptable peace terms to Ukraine right now? Whose fault is it, solely and completely, that the Budapest Memorandum didn't assure Ukraine's security in this instance?
This was two years ago, I will also make clear I'm not opposed to them taking back the territory, it just doesn't seem like it's actually gonna happen on any timeframe, one year from now, two years from now, ten years from now. You can feel free to link me sources if you disagree with me saying this.
He signed off on giving them weapons, he's not sabotoging them that hard. I don't really see any compelling evidence that this "semi-stalemate" would change any time soon even if Biden was the president for the next 20 years, again you can feel free to link sources if you disagree with me saying this.
Maybe if you expect things to change from this "semi-stalemate" I just don't see why it would change from this.
Who is saying these terms are unacceptable Zelensky? I have not seen him say this in those terms. I'm not saying Ukraine should take a deal they find unacceptable, they should do whatever is in their interest.
I put the onus on the west for not enforcing it, otherwise why even offer this assurance, if they are not gonna actually follow through and stop Crimea being taken, Russia obviously also broke the deal, but if the deal is if one side will stop the other side if the other side breaks the deal and the other side breaks the deal and the one side says sorry we're not gonna do what is required to stop Crimea being taken, the deal was just vapor to begin with.
So it doesn't count anymore, two years is way too long from today.
So it's certainly assured what will happen ten years from now, based on what's happening today.
Got it. Makes perfect sense, I'm following so far.
You want me to give you a citation for what's going to happen ten years from now? Actually, no. You're telling me what's going to happen ten years from now, and demanding a citation otherwise, if I disagree.
Zelensky has said he wouldn't give up land before. That was a little while ago, and things can change. I doubt he would want to say anything about the peace agreement before it's negotiated. He has offered to swap land, Kursk for the occupied Ukrainian territories.
Mostly, what I mean by saying that is that I think it's unacceptable, for reasons pretty similar to the posted meme. I think that it's likely that the offer on the table for Ukraine is "accept Russia's terms, or no more aid" and they'll have to make a nasty choice between those alternatives. How they feel or what they will do, I don't know. But I'm fairly well convinced that those are the options they'll be choosing between, and that Harris wouldn't have done that. Can you give me a citation otherwise?
Russia agrees not to invade, then invades, and you put the onus on the West? I already pointed out that the "one side will stop the other side" is nowhere in the memorandum. I don't know why you are persistently pretending it is, or ignoring me pointing out that it isn't.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Budapest_Memorandum#Content
How many years until it counts
I was clearly asking you for sources that predict change to happen, not to say what is going to happen in the future. You are just being obtuse.
I think Harris would keep on doing exactly what Biden was doing, I never implied she wouldn't, I just don't think what Biden was doing past for the past few years has amounted to much.
Yes, why even pressure Ukraine and Kazakhstan to disarm if they weren't going to do anything if Russia decided to reneg. There was no reason to pressure them to disarm then if it wasn't implied they would provide security if Russia renegged. It's the worst deal of all time if that was the case.