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As Iran threatens Israel, the danger of Tehran's long-vaunted missile program remains in question (apnews.com)

submitted 10 months ago by tal@lemmy.today to c/world@lemmy.world

15 comments fedilink hide all child comments

Quick summary: an analysis of the Iranian ballistic missiles used in the attack in April showed them to demonstrate dramatically worse performance than had been expected of them.

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[–] tal@lemmy.today 9 points 10 months ago (7 children)

U.S. officials, who spoke on condition of anonymity to discuss intelligence matters, told the AP they assessed that 50% of the Iranian missiles failed at launch or crashed before reaching their target.

Assuming Iran targeted the hangars, the James Martin analysts measured the distance between the hangars and the impact zones of the missiles. That gave an average of about 1.2 kilometers (0.75 miles) for the “circular error probable” — a measurement used by experts to determine a weapon’s accuracy based on the radius of a circle that encompasses 50% of where the missiles landed.

That’s far worse than a 500-meter (1,640-foot) error circle first estimated by experts for the Emad. After a U.N. weapons ban on Iran ended in 2020, Iran separately advertised the Emad to potential international buyers as having a 50-meter (164-foot) circle — a figure that is in line with top missile specifications for systems deployed elsewhere, said Hinz, the IISS missile expert.

[–] Count042@lemmy.ml -1 points 10 months ago (1 children)

Huh, yeah, not accurate I guess.

Remember, Israel has extreme censorship over damage caused by the missile attack right now.

[–] FlyingSquid@lemmy.world 6 points 10 months ago (1 children)

Something inaccurate can still hit a target. I suck at darts but I've still hit the bullseye before. One photo is really not enough to show whether or not the missiles were accurate in general.

[–] Count042@lemmy.ml -1 points 10 months ago* (last edited 10 months ago)

There are quite a few from Nevatim.

And yeah, the tactics of these launches are obvious. You launch far more cheaper missiles that will still have to be intercepted so that the big ones get through.

This and cheap as dirt drones are the future of warfare. Your response is the stereotypical response to a new technology that threatens the status quo because there is a social construct around the alternative technology.

Like how heavy cavalry were all nobility, but a team of three longbow archers could take them out with ease.

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