cross-posted from: https://slrpnk.net/post/11221842
this post was submitted on 08 Jul 2024
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Polls. Hilarious!
Yep, it's like you know this thing where they do many surveys to find out who people are voting for in advance of the elections. As technology develops, so has the ability to more accurately predict and understand the election outcome in advance. I'm not sure if you've ever heard about them before, or know what the word means, but if you need some help understanding polling and the margin of error altogether then I'm happy to share. Most polls are focused on swing states where the election will be decided. Biden is particularly not doing well in those states:
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national/
Bullshit.
There’s THIS
and THIS
and THIS
Do you need more?
If you actually read those article you'd see that polling overestimated support for Biden and Democrats. So if polling already has Biden trailing and polls overestimate support, that isn't helping your case.
They show that polling is inaccurate bud. That’s all I needed to do. Point out how foolish your point is. I have no intent to debate this with you.
Yes, I'll give you that they indicate polling in terms of overestimating Democrats in Democrat-funded polling was highly inaccurate, but they also had a lot of accurate polling, especially on the issues:
https://www.pewresearch.org/methods/2021/03/02/what-2020s-election-poll-errors-tell-us-about-the-accuracy-of-issue-polling/
And that I stated, polling is advancing:
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/2022-election-polling-accuracy/
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/07/12/us/elections/2022-poll-accuracy.html