this post was submitted on 29 Jun 2024
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[–] Droplet@hexbear.net 29 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago)

You cannot predict stock market, AI or not.

In the past, you can use trend analysis to look at the historical movement of commodity prices, for example. But these days the US has gained such total control of various critical sectors (oil, energy, for example) which have significant impact on the global economy, and it can happen because of political decisions, not economic.

For example, in 2015 oil price crash was a deliberate decision of the US to destroy the petroleum export dependent economies of Iran, Russia and Venezuela with its shale revolution. It was purely politically motivated. You literally cannot predict how the stocks will move because the world economy is dependent on what the US imperialists want to do at the spur of the moment.

The US can bomb Nord Stream because it feels like it and there goes the European economy.