this post was submitted on 23 Jun 2024
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chapotraphouse
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It is very cursed, but I can’t help noticing the mainstream media pushing to normalize nuclear escalations in recent months.
This CSIS analysis from 2009 suggests that Israel does have more than enough yield in its nuclear arsenal to achieve the simulated impact. The climate model referenced above only needed 100 15-kiloton nukes (1.5 Megaton total) to achieve the effect of releasing 5 Tg of smoke into the atmosphere. According to the CSIS report, a single Jericho II ballistic missile alone can carry a 1000kg warhead of 1 Megaton yield. And that’s just a single warhead. So, probably 1-2 big nuclear explosions (or a dozen of smaller ones) are enough to irreversibly affect the global climate.
The difficult (and unbelievable) part of this hypothesis is how can they contain the nuclear explosions regionally and not allowing it to escalate out of hand towards a global thermonuclear war.
I think the obvious answer would be to egg on a situation where an exchange would be between a nuclear power and a non-nuclear power.
the solution is clear, you just have to think (much) dumber and refocus from nuclear war as an excuse to the core of "exploding nukes will lower the global temperature"