NFL

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I'm using a simplified/modified Colley Matrix iteration process (https://www.colleyrankings.com/method.html)

To summarize, you take the win percentage of every team and correct it against the win percentage of their opponents. Then you have a new win percentage. And I repeat that process until the correction factor is below .001. Essentially this is what I would expect the win percentages to be if the teams played an average team every week.

The Vikings find themselves playing in mostly one score games again. After an NFL record of 11-0 they have regressed to the mean are now 5-6 in one score games. Additionally all 6 of those losses have been unique point differential in those 6 games. They have had: 1 point loss - Week 11 Denver 2 point loss - Week 12 Chicago 3 point loss - Week 1 Tampa Bay 4 point loss - Week 3 LA Chargers 5 point loss - 6 point loss - Week 2 Philadelphia 7 point loss - Week 5 Kansas City 8 point loss -

The Vikings are a 5 point loss and a 8 point loss from completing this process of every 1 score loss possible. I have no idea how common something like this I just found it kind of funny and it does seem that the Vikings are addicted to having absurd 1 score game stats.

So to get ready for playoff chase, I took a look at each team's statistics for the past 6 weeks(weeks 7 - 12). Shown are the offense and defense statistics, the rank, and what the league average is. Then I assigned grades to the offense, defense and team as a whole. You can read all 32 team breakdowns in the full post:

NFL 2023 - Offense, Defense, Team grades for weeks 7-12

As a quick TLDR, the following chart shows NET Yards/play, NET EP, Power Ratings, and change in power rating vs post week six rating. It is sorted by NET EP. Remember, these stats are only for weeks 7 - 12, not the full season.

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NFL Team Ranks for NET Yards/Play, NET Expected Points & Power Rating weeks 7-12

Each of the 32 team capsules include the following information.

• Net Expected Points
• Net Yards / Play
• Power Rating
• Graphics Metrics Capsule showing weeks 1-6 and 7-12 in one chart for comparison
• Offense Grade & Comments
• Offensive Metrics
• Defense Grade & Comments
• Defensive Metrics
• Summary

Here is an example of the Dallas Cowboys Team Capsule for weeks 7 - 12.

Dallas Cowboys - Offense Defense Team Stats Grades Weeks 7-12

Obviously the letter grades and comments are a bit subjective, but the statistics are not. Have fun checking out the stats of your favorite team and rivals. Enjoy the football tonight!

From the "you can find a stat that makes anyone look good department"

4th down QBs since 2021 by QB Rating (Minimum 10 passing attempts):

^Table ^formatting ^brought ^to ^you ^by ^ExcelToReddit

Personally I would think Point State Park is a more suitable location than the North Shore, but what do I know.

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https://preview.redd.it/nkdz5dgrjg3c1.png?width=1120&format=png&auto=webp&s=04b1a165597501a203eb4096e3d1c3c7ef2a7568

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With both these teams having had questions around their offensive play-caller and second-year quarterback, the way to get back on track for them was to re-dedicate themselves to more diverse run games. However, they're doing it in slightly different ways.

I broke down what that plan looked like for these teams this past Sunday, what this can create for them and how I believe they’ll be trying to control matchups this way going forward!

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I could only post the first 15 (of 23) minutes. You can check out the full video here!

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https://reddit.com/link/187j5bc/video/cofmsk49og3c1/player

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If you enjoyed the analysis, please consider viewing the original video, leaving a like and/or subscribing for future episodes!

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Team rank in offensive redzone efficiency

2014 Raiders: 1st

2015 Raiders: 9th

2016 Raiders: 14th

2017 Raiders: 7th

2018 Raiders: 22nd

2019 Raiders: 22nd

2020 Raiders: 23rd

2021 Raiders: 26th

2022 Raiders: 26th

2023 Saints: 29th

For either of the two MNF games they have for December 11th, today was the last day for the NFL to make a decision to flex either of them out - especially with GB/NYG, with talks of HOU/NYJ potentially taking their place.

But 7:20 came and went, and no official call was made. Therefore, expect MetLife stands to be blue instead of green by then.

Once more...the primetime schedule remains untouched...

Carolina had a 1-15 season in 2001. They also went 2-14 in 2010

But somehow it feels worse than even those years.

Even those seasons, George Seifert and John Fox at least were allowed to coach out the season.

It’s hard to think that CAR somehow feels like the days of Weinke and Matt Moore were better.

Like Carolina has had bad seasons but this feels almost apathetic