NFL

“Against the spread” refers to betting on a team to perform better than the point spread set by the sportsbook. They must either win by a margin greater than the spread (for favorites) or lose by fewer points than the spread (for underdogs) for the bet to be successful.

Quote from NY Post Point spreads are supposed to be the great equalizer. History has shown that the eventual champions are often underestimated by the composite sum of market influences, even when they’re media-friendly, high-profile programs. Consistently clearing high expectations is a sign of greatness.

The Dolphins vs Jets had aired 50(!) non-local commercials in the 4th Quarter, that was a Commercial Counter Record for 4th Quarter Non-Local Commercials!

The Jets since the bye week has only scored 50 points.

• Won 13-10 in overtime against the Giants
• Lost 27-6 against the Chargers
• Lost 16-12 against the Raiders
• Lost 32-6 against the Bills
• Lost 34-13 against the Dolphins

In fact, coming into this game, the Jets had scored a total of 44 4th Quarter Points, but due to the 7 points scored in the 4th Quarter of this game, they now have 51. Which means they just avoided a horrifying statistic of having more 4th Quarter Non-Local Commercials in a NYJ standalone game then the Jets have scored in the 4th Quarter all season.

That’s all, Hackett is a good man and a horrible coach that has gotten the Adam Gase treatment due to his relationship with Rodgers.

With 102 receiving yards in a win vs the Jets, Tyreek hill gets up to 1324 receiving yards on the season, meaning he needs 676 receiving yards to be the first receiver to ever reach the 2k mark, an average of 113 per game for the rest of the season.

#Miami Dolphins at New York Jets

ESPN Gamecast

MetLife Stadium- East Rutherford, NJ

Network(s): PRIME VIDEO (All prime games are streamed on twitch for free)

Scoreboard

Scoring Plays

Highlights from ESPN.com (Note: These links may expire in a few days)

1. Tua Tagovailoa and Tyreek Hill connect for a 7-yard touchdown vs. the Jets.
2. Tim Boyle heaves the ball to the end zone, but Jevon Holland picks it off and goes 99 yards the other way for a touchdown to end the first half.
3. Brandon Echols reads the play perfectly as he steps in front of the receiver to make the pick-six play.
4. The Jets and Dolphins get into a scuffle that ends with a Micheal Clemons getting ejected for elbowing a referee.
5. Raheem Mostert makes it look easy as he uses his speed to cross the goal line for a Dolphins touchdown.

Passing Leaders

Rushing Leaders

Receiving Leaders

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Los Angeles Bulldogs were once proposed to enter the NFL back in 1936 but the Cleveland Rams (the LA Rams we know today) were chosen instead

we almost had the Seattle Kings back in 1972 before the Seahawks entered the league 4 years later

once the World Football League shut down there was talks about the Memphis Grizzlies (aka the Southmen) joining the NFL

Memphis Hound Dogs, Baltimore Bombers, & St. Louis Stallions were proposed in the 1990s but instead we got the Jacksonville Jaguars, & the Carolina Panthers

Are there anymore proposed franchise that almost happened but never occurred or is that all that we know of?

Yesterday I saw a post showing the average winning percentage of opponents defeated, and Carolina was on top of the list because they beat a 6-4 team for their ONE win. Obviously, and hopefully, the post was made tongue-in-cheek, but it did have me wanting to look at the data differently, so I decided to build on that and show total wins for opponents each team has defeated. I don’t know that this adds much different than regular schedule strength stats, or avg DVOA of opponent, but I just wanted to try a different view. For lack of a better team, let's call it WDs (Wins Defeated).

I’ll use Dallas and Baltimore as an example to illustrate the metric. Both teams are 8-3, but the quality of their wins are strikingly different.

In Dallas’ eight wins this year, their opponents have a .297 winning percentage, the equivalent of a 5-12 team over a full season. Here are the YTD records of the opponents they beat:

• 3-8
• 4-6
• 2-8
• 4-6
• 4-6
• 3-8
• 1-9
• 4-8

In Baltimore’s eight wins this year, their opponents have a .508 winning percentage, almost the equivalent of a 9-8 team over a full season. Here are the YTD records of the opponents they beat:

• 6-4
• 5-5
• 7-3
• 3-7
• 8-3
• 2-9
• 6-5
• 5-5

One small issue which I didn’t adjust for is that some teams haven’t had their bye yet, so not every team has played the same number of games. I could aggregate winning percentage, which would be more accurate, but would be a weird stat to digest. I kept it basic and just added wins. The point is simply to combine win volume with strength of wins.

In the chart below, the data is color coded by number of wins for each team, in case you want to compare against teams with the same record.

https://preview.redd.it/ne7qnkhzgc2c1.png?width=585&format=png&auto=webp&s=de200ee73faa2d57edbc4e6426836b15956046db

What stands out?

How about 7-3 Miami with only 22 WDs, while the other 7-3 teams have between 34 and 37 WDs.

At 4-6 the Jets have the 17 moat WDs by virtue of two of their wins coming against the Eagles and Bills. They lead all 4-win teams and are ahead of three 5-win teams.

Like I said, I don't know that it's any better than other schedule strength stats, just trying something different, although it's probably been done by others as well. Hope you enjoy!

I know it’s extremely rare for a defensive player to be considered, let alone a DB, but with his season so far he deserves it. I’m not a Cowboys fan by any means (usually root against them) but you have to admit greatness when you witness it. He’s the top ranked corner according to PFF just broke an NFL record for pick sixes and has the most INTs in the league. He’s so far above anyone else in his position plus he’s doing things that no one else has done before. Brady was right when he said the NFL offensive skill isn’t the same this year- there’s no one offensively other than Tyreek or AJ that are having rare seasons. Why are we sitting here pretending like we have to chose between this shitpile of offensive candidates when there’s so many defensive players playing at a high level. Obviously he has to finish the season strong but if he can finish with three to four more INTs (11total) it would be insane to me to pass him up, at the very least DPOY. Would love to hear some civil discourse on this.

#Miami Dolphins at New York Jets

ESPN Gamecast

MetLife Stadium- East Rutherford, NJ

Network(s): PRIME VIDEO (All prime games are streamed on twitch for free)

Injury Report

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He's finally getting his chance. Dude is a football genius and has all the moxie. If he retired with lets say two rings and 100 TDs to 30 INT would that be good enough to get in?

Friday 11/24

Prime Video

Dolphins-Jets: Al Michaels, Kirk Herbstreit, Kaylee Hartung

Also: WFOR-Miami, WNYW-New York

Sunday 11/26:

CBS

Bills-Eagles: CBS. Jim Nantz, Tony Romo, Tracy Wolfson

Steelers-Bengals: CBS. Ian Eagle, Charles Davis, Evan Washburn

Chiefs-Raiders: Kevin Harlan, Trent Green, Melanie Collins

Jaguars-Texans: Andrew Catalon, Tiki Barber, Matt Ryan, AJ Ross

Buccaneers-Colts: Spero Dedes, Adam Archuleta, Amanda Renner

FOX

Saints-Falcons: Joe Davis, Daryl Johnston, Pam Oliver

Panthers-Titans: Adam Amin, Mark Schlereth, Kristina Pink

Patriots-Giants: Kenny Albert, Jonathan Vilma, Shannon Spake

Browns-Broncos: Kevin Kugler, Mark Sanchez, Laura Okmin

Rams-Cardinals: Chris Myers, Robert Smith, Jen Hale

SNF on NBC

Ravens-Chargers, 8:20, NBC. Mike Tirico, Jason Garrett, Melissa Stark

MNF on ABC

Bears - Vikings: Joe Buck, Troy Aikman, Lisa Salters

Considering what CJ Stroud has been doing, I’m interested in seeing how teams handle drafting a QB high from here on out. Over the last 20 years or so, I think we’ve seen less and less patience when it comes to rookie QBs. There used to be a time where a guy could get drafted and would essentially be a clipboard holder his first 2-3 years if the guy ahead of him was producing at at least a Cincy Andy Dalton level. We’ve seen a lot more get thrown out to the fire early and they get a lot less leeway now than they did when I first started watching football 20 something years ago.

Still tho, a lot of fans still like to justify why their teams young QB is underperforming and usually point to factors that are out of their control (roster, coaching staff, front office, lack of experience)

And this guy CJ Stroud comes into the league with a franchise in perhaps its darkest days with a rookie head coach to boot, no notable weapons at the start of the season and he’s got them in the playoff hunt and hasn’t only been playing well for a rookie but he has been one of the best performing QBs in the league this season.

I’m already seeing a lot of rumblings on social media in regards to other young QBs that have yet to play like CJ has and some guys that had supporters before this season have lost a lot of them. It’s just hard to keep justifying poor play with external excuses when this guy isn’t in an ideal situation at all and making it happen.

Probably two of my favorite players I’ve watched in my lifetime but in both of their primes, who are you taking? Why?

https://www.msn.com/en-us/sports/nfl/seahawks-make-polarizing-uniform-choice-for-thanksgiving-49ers-showdown/ar-AA1knI4C

I get that the NFL isn’t like Boise State who tries to hide their uniforms in a blue field but at some point doesn’t it make it harder to disguise coverages, sneak receivers out of the backfield, disguise who has the football, etc when your uniform is fluorescent green? Not saying I know anything about it, just legitimately asking the question.

Charger fans and non-charger fans alike have said that Brandon Staley is the head coach because ownership is too cheap to can him so I guess that explains why he’s still there.

That being said why is Ron Rivera still Washington’s head coach??? That game yesterday was horrible since we all know Sam Howell is legit plus the Commanders have Eric Bienemy who can be an interim head coach as a way to make his case for HC the rest of the year and going forward

12 being WRs, Mark Andrews is the only TE