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Week 1: SF - L
Week 2: CLE - W
Week 3: @ LV - W
Week 4 @ HOU - L
Week 5: BAL - W
Week 7: @ LAR - W
Week 8: JAX - L
Week 9: TEN - W
Week 10: GB - W
Week 11: @ CLE - L
Week 12: @ CIN - W

So if we go by the pattern….

Week 13: ARZ - W
Week 14: @ NE - L
Week 15: @ IND - W
Week 16: CIN - W
Week 17: @ SEA - L
Week 18: @ BAL - W

PLAYOFFS (if they make it)
Wild Card: W
Divisional Round: L

It seems that the fate of the Steelers season rests in the hands of the all-mighty pattern. We dare not to question its choices. I know that this is a really dumb post and is just a result of pure coincidence, but I’ll believe anything that says we won’t get blown out in the wild card round… again

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It's officially the Christmas season, /r/NFL! Everyone has their holiday decorations up, their gift lists sent out, their letters to Santa on their way, and their ugly sweaters out of storage. We had another interesting week where I went 11-5 on my picks, bringing me to 119-61 on the season. How did everyone else do? We're back to the byes in force, with six teams out and three less games to watch. We have just two division games this week, with five inter-conference and six cross-conference games lined up. Let's get to it!


Winner Loser Comments
Cowboys over Seahawks Seattle is limping into the game with poor QB/O-line play and can't count on the running game to boost everything. The Cowboys have destroyed reeling teams at home all season long and even though Seattle's defense has improved, there are enough holes to exploit for a red-hot Dak and Pollard can continue his recent surge.
Titans over Colts Minshew is finding ways to make enough plays off Taylor's running and a more active defense. The Titans haven't been pretty offensively with Levis, but they go as Henry goes. The Colts' defense has improved, while the Titans present a challenging front to the run. Levis comes through here as Tennessee makes it two in a row in Nashville.
Chargers over Patriots The Pats have bottomed out, and unproductive QB play remains a huge problem, averaging just 167.5 passing YPG through a four-game losing streak, with Mac and Zappe combining for three TDs and six INTs in that stretch. The Chargers are on a three-game losing streak, but Herbert's play is not the problem.
Lions over Saints I just can't with this team right now. When your QB has five trips to the red zone and the only TD you get is a pick six, there's a fundamental coaching problem that needs to change in addition to Carr's awful playing. The Dome is gonna have to be rocking extra loud to give the Saints a chance to win against a very good Lions team.
Jets over Falcons The Falcons got their rushing and defensive groove back with Ridder at home, and a breakout by Robinson. But Ridder isn't the same QB on the road and the Falcons' passing game won't post much of a challenge as a complementary threat here. The Jets will find some success with Hall and Wilson to spark their struggling offense at home.
Steelers over Cardinals The Steelers generated more than 400 yards under new OC Faulkner, and they return home after a pair of divisional road games. The defense has allowed just 15.7 PPG over the last six weeks. The Cardinals are 0-6 on the road and have not scored more than 16 points in any of those losses. Look for Pittsburgh to continue its playoff push.
Dolphins over Commanders Washington fired DC Del Rio after an embarrassing Thanksgiving loss to Dallas. Now, Rivera faces the challenge of slowing down a Miami offense that leads the league in total offense. The Phins have been loose with the ball with three turnovers the last two weeks, but they can clean that up.
Broncos over Texans Denver is on fire and I'm all aboard the Bronco wagon. Wilson has eight TD passes and no INTs in their streak. Houston, whose pass defense allows 252.5 YPG, could be in trouble. The Texans are 4-2 at home and Stroud has been brilliant, but Denver makes one more play on the road here.
Buccaneers over Panthers The Panthers fired Reich on Monday, the end of an era that produced a 1-10 record. Tabor is the interim HC, and there is always the opportunity for a play-up moment for the franchise. Tampa has lost six of seven games, but four of those losses have been of the one-score variety. Trashy division game incoming.
Rams over Browns Cleveland will struggle in their West Coast trip to L.A. Injuries to DTR and Garrett are a problem, and the Rams' Kupp should be healthier this week. Cleveland has failed to score 14 points in its last two games, and L.A. is fine with getting into a defensive battle. Stick with the home team by a field goal.
49ers over [](/PHI Eagles) GotW/NFC Championship Game rematch, and one hell of a tough pick. The Niners are a road favorite, but the Eagles are making second-half comebacks a thing this season, and both teams have similar sack totals. (San Fran at 33, Philly at 32). Which team will force that mistake at the right time? Hurts has more turnovers, and Purdy picks apart the Eagles' pass defense. Not confident at all in this pick.
Chiefs over Packers Mahomes is making his Lambeau debut. Love is making his SNF debut. The Packers have improved with back-to-back victories, but the injuries to the defense have mounted. The Chiefs' only road loss this season was part of a five-turnover nightmare in Denver. Green Bay is 5-2 as an underdog this season, and they will still be a tough out at home. This could be a monster game for Kelce.
Jaguars over Bengals Browning proved capable when he got the ball out quick for the Bengals, but he still took four sacks in his debut. Jacksonville has settled into a rhythm despite two blowout losses at home. The Jags have not been on MNF since 2011, so anticipate a rowdy crowd. Lawrence, averaging 303 passing yards the last two weeks, gets it done.

Byes: Bills, Bears, Raiders, Vikings, Giants, Ravens


Those are my predictions, let's hear yours. Keep it civil and fun.

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https://www.boston.com/sports/new-england-patriots/2023/11/27/tom-brady-nfl-mediocrity-comment-quarterbacks-read-defenses-line-of-scrimmage-check/

When Tom Brady said that there’s “a lot of mediocrity” in today’s NFL, some were confused and debated his point.

The Patriots icon further explained what he meant in the latest episode of his “Let’s Go!” podcast, focusing more on the inability of quarterbacks to read defenses and check out of plays at the line of scrimmage. As Brady was discussing how well of a game the Eagles’ overtime win over the Bills was, Jim Gray (one of Brady’s co-hosts) asked him why we don’t see as many games as intense or as well-played as that one, calling back to Brady’s “mediocrity” comment.

“I think the point is, you want to see the game continue to grow and evolve,” Brady said. “That means better coaching, better quarterback play, and better defensive playcalling. I think a big difference too is the lack of time that coaches have with players, coaches have together in the building, people don’t understand the full picture a lot of the time.”

As Brady said that players at most positions only need to know how to do a few things well, he explained that quarterbacks “need to know what everyone is doing.” But he doesn’t think quarterbacks in the league now necessarily know as much as they should, placing some of the blame on coaches because they’re trying to “control the game from the sideline.”

“When you try to control the game from the sideline, you don’t have the answer for everything that’s happening on the field,” Brady said. “Ultimately, as a quarterback, I had all the things at my disposal to get us into a good play. … I had the ability to change the play to get us to a play that I thought would be more successful.

“I just don’t see as much of that in the NFL,” Brady added. “There’s a lot less time that people are spending on it. That’s just the reality. When I started, there was a lot more time we spent on it. Over those years, I developed a lot of those tools in my arsenal to get us into the best play.”

Playlist Error: This content is currently unavailable from within your country.

Brady said that his ability to check out of bad plays at the line of scrimmage helped him win Super Bowls and made other quarterbacks, such as Peyton Manning, Drew Brees, and Philip Rivers, great. Now, he thinks that only Patrick Mahomes, Aaron Rodgers, Matthew Stafford, and maybe a couple of other quarterbacks have the ability to check plays at the line of scrimmage.

Brady laid blame on the constant pressures of getting things right in the league for the lack of quarterbacks in the league today who are able to check out of plays at the line scrimmage, saying “in an effort to get it right, people are actually getting it more wrong.” As he thinks it’s particularly affecting young quarterbacks, he recalled that being able to spend time with the Patriots’ coaching staff during the offseason helped him check out of a play that led to an overtime win over the Chargers in his third career start.

“We were talking about how they were going to max blitz us,” Brady said. “We said, ‘OK, if they max blitz us and they get us in that look, we’ve got to check the protection to a seven-man protection, and let’s get the receiver a shot down the field.’ [They said that] to a second-year quarterback!

“I was in the system my whole first year. I was being taught by Bill Belichick and Charlie Weis. We had quarterbacks school and the offseason program. We get into overtime after going the full 60 minutes and I recognized they called this all-out blitz. I said, ‘[Expletive] this, I’m changing it.’ I changed the protection, I threw a deep ball to David Patten, pass interference and we got a 50-yard gain. We win the game on a field goal in overtime.”

Instead of seeing quarterbacks doing what he did at the line of scrimmage throughout his whole career, Brady believes there are too many quarterbacks and teams being “reactive” and trying to fix problems after the snap.

“The more you can be decisive as a quarterback, the better outcomes you’re going to have, the better your process is going to be,” Brady said. “You want to be really decisive as a quarterback. You want to be really sure of what you’re doing. But you need to be sure of the gameplan, the protections, who’s responsible for who if they blitz, and where all of the receivers are going. All of that takes time. We’ve got to allow these guys time to develop.

“The pro game is reflecting what the college game is as opposed to the college game reflecting what the pro game is,” Brady added. “We’re asking pro players to play college football. That’s the biggest difference I see. It’s way more checkers than it is chess. I tried to play chess. I wanted to have three moves ahead of you at all times.”

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You always see players shake hands after trying to break each other for 60 minutes which leads me to wondering if there's any players who down right hate each other and have gone on record to say so.

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If there was an NFL redraft what would your personal big board look if you were a GM in the NFL? I know we all have our biases but I'm genuinely curious what people think.

My personal big board would be

  1. Mahomes
  2. Herbert
  3. Allen
  4. Burrow
  5. Hurts
  6. Lamar
  7. Tua
  8. Trevor
  9. Dak
  10. Kirk
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If anyone would like any context for what’s to come, https://x.com/emmanuelacho/status/1729547274429075581?s=46&t=5QOwMNyHv2_jBwVeAPneag is a good place to start.

While I agree with the “value” of Trent Williams to the Niners, his unofficial MVP ballot list is flawed. The definition of “value” here isn’t applied universally across the top 5. Going by his definition wrt to Trent Williams (the obvious odd one from his list):

  1. Hurts’ unique athletic build unlocks a further down for the Eagles offence in which they have a lesser turnover risk on 4th and short due to his ability to make the QB Sneak absolutely unstoppable. Apart from that he’s easily a top 5 QB so his “value” there is quite face up. However, how much importance are we giving to this unique ability and discounting the strength of other assets on that offence aka OLine and his receivers
  2. Mahomes’ talent as a QB can never be fully understood because he makes the impossible possible but in my opinion he’s overrated here. Remove him from that Chiefs offence and with certain I can say that they’re closer to .500 than 8-3. However, he is unanimously the best player in the league so him playing below his usual standards hurts his stock.
  3. The wildest shout on here. Tua’s a good QB. But if you were to pick any player to represent the effectiveness and dynamism of that Dolphins offence? It’s certainly going to be Tyreek Hill with his inhuman speed. In fact, the ability of the Dolphins offence actually diminishes Tua’s stock. Hill has helped Tua look better, not the other way around.
  4. Lamar Jackson’s maturity this season has catapulted him into the MVP race. A QB who formerly used to take off when plays break down is now posting career highs in passing completion rates. He’s understanding of the next best passing option when his main option is unavailable and the ability to find that option has made him an undeniable horse in the MVP race. #5 is really disrespectful imo Jackson is the best dual threat QB in the league.
  5. How does one make an MVP list for this season and leave out CMC? It’s just baffling. Kyle Shanahan has been given too much credit for CMC’s success imo. Yes, undeniably Shanahan’s run game is elite and gets the best out of his RBs. But if the system was the key reason behind the Niners successes, why sacrifice so much to acquire one of the biggest talents at RB in the league? CMC and the Niners run game is a match made in heaven. While this quote is true, it often comes at a detriment to CMC’s stock. The disparity between CMC and the rest of the RBs is not just due to system. It’s also his own prowess as a high IQ runner and a good pass catcher to add.

Ultimately, what Acho is trying to do here is to be novel, which will show in the interactions he gets from the tweet, benefiting him and FS1. If he’s going off his definition of “value”, CJ Stroud should be the only horse in the race. The competency he has shown as a rookie QB while having OLine struggles puts him at the top of the rankings in Acho’s notion of “value”. The Niners may have lost two games in Williams’s absence. But Houston were projected 3-5 wins overall even with CJ Stroud. Furthermore, leaving out Dak when he’s easily the main reason why the Cowboys are where they’re at is a smart play because America’s team is a good fanbase to target. My main horses for the MVP are CMC, Lamar Jackson, Tyreek Hill while Patrick Mahomes, Jalen Hurts and Dak Prescott are just behind the front runners in the race. With key matchups for all MVP options still yet to come, it’s impossible to call it until the wire.

If any of y’all had spent time to read my opinions, thank you and I would love to hear your opinions in the comments as well.

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Why I'm not willing to give up on JF1

The bears as a team including Fields had an abysmal start to the season, be it because of coaching or because of a lack of talent. In my opinion blame lies mostly with coaching, but this is a young roster with a lack of experience (which is why we are seeing this team improve on defense so much).

Then in week 4 something changed (for 3 quarters), the offense seemed to click and we put up great numbers. From week 4 till now, week 12, Justin has played some really good football. He misses some reads, sure, but if you look at every snap (which i have and sometimes this offense makes you want to poke your eyes out) he looks like a mostly good QB who needs to clean up some things, which in my opinion are coachable. In my opinion watching the games he has played after the meltdown in kansas, (excluding the vikins, because he got hurt and the offense as a whole was atrocious) he passes the eye test as a qb1.

He is going through his progressions, checking plays at the line (there is still a good amount of progression to be made here, but he is atleast servicable at this) and he is getting the ball out quicker. He is good at extending plays and when he gets out the pocket he is a pass first qb, which suprised me, because he is such a dynamic runner with the football. He can beat a team with his legs, has one of the best (if not the best) deepballs in the NFL and is starting to get better at the short and intermediate level.

Now for the people who don't care about how somebody looks out on the field and want to look at statistics, here they are.

Passing 4 weeks:

  • 1003 yards (250.75 ypg)
  • 86/124 for 69.4% completed passes
  • Passer rating of 114.42 (only 5 qb's have a rating over 100 this season)
  • 9 TD's
  • 1 INT

Rushing 4 weeks:

  • 245 yards (61 ypg)
  • 5.5 ypa
  • 4 fumbles
  • 3 fumbles lost

Season (17 games):

  • 4263 passing yards
  • 1041 rushing yards
  • 69.4% complete
  • 38 Td's
  • 4 ints
  • 17 fumbles (13 lost)

So that would mean Justin would have 5304 total yards with 38 TD's (which could be more if he gets some rushing TD's which he hasn't in these 4 weeks) 4 INT's with 17 fumbles (lost 13). This would be a 9.5 : 1 TD/INT ratio and a 2.2 : 1 TD/TO ratio.

Don't get me wrong Justin still has things he needs to work on (fumbles, reading defenses and throwinflg with anticipation), but if you 1) look at the tape, he is playing confident and going through his progressions more + adjustments and checks at the LOS, which he has improved upon since coming in the league 2) look at the statistics 3) look at the team (we are in a rebuild with guys who need time to develop and gel together). Justin has what it takes to be a top QB in this league, granted he needs to clean up the fumbles and shows more progression reading the defense, which he has done so far.

Would love to hear opinions on this and answer any questions that you might have (and let's please keep it civil)

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Week 12 results

Week 12 standings and picks

Top 3

Not a lot of changes at the top:

  • u/DanOfBradford78 is at the top with 394 points

  • u/Tameyoshi at number 2 with 372 points

  • u/doctor_ben at number 3 with 358 points

Week 13 picks

Please remember that you cannot choose a team you already took in a previous week. You can subscribe to r/NFLScoringGame for reminders.

Submit your Week 13 picks here

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With Frank Reich getting fired and Bryce Young not looking anything like the player he was at Bama (granted he's not working with much), this inquiry seemed highly relevant to me and the NFL could look very different if the dominoes fell in a different formation.

Pretty straightforward: Lovie said fuck it and coached his boys to win their second game of the year in the last week of 22, ultimately losing the first overall pick in the draft and instead picking 2 overall. Thus, Chicago does not get the first pick and Carolina would not be able to trade up to number 1. Houston would not have traded that first pick, and they'd have their choice of the 2 consensus top QBs.

I'm not saying Stroud wasn't their guy. He may have been that dude regardless and they very well could have picked him. But most prognosticators assessed Young as the safer prospect with a higher ceiling.

What if Houston gets that first pick and drafts Young? Does Chicago trade their pick still? Does Chicago stay put? Who do they snag at 2 if so? Does Carolina still try to move up to 2 to get a QB? Does another team like Indy get into the mix? What does Chicago's future outlook look like without those potential picks going forward? Same question about Carolina, reversed. Do they keep all those picks and have a better outlook? What if Chicago doesn't get Moore in a deal? What if the Panthers QB has Moore as his WR1 instead of Theilen? How does Houston look relative to how impressive they've been? Does Carolina still have 1 win? Is Reich still there?

So many dominoes, how would the NFL look if the first domino never happened? Which ones did I miss? Just curious of others thoughts!

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So, I absolutely despise kickoffs. They have become an absolute waste of time, talent and most of all, a waste of opportunity for exciting moments and plays in football. Special teams players work their asses off all week (and all year) just to run down the field and watch the ball go through the endzone. I actually feel bad for these players.

Depending on the source, the return rate is anywhere from 20-32%. Source aside, no matter the real number, that's atrocious. We've all watched most kickoffs go through the endzone and just result in the receiving team getting the ball at the 25. So much that you might as well just start there and scrap the kickoff completely. OR, hear my proposal for kickoff reform, that I think would substantially impact the game and make every kickoff an exciting play.

Change #1: I propose that any kickoff that goes through the endzone without touching ground in the field of play (goal line to goal line) is an automatic 20 yard penalty. Receiving team starts on their own 45. Any kick that hits ground in the field of play, then goes through the endzone, will be spotted at the last point of contact in field of play. This will immediately make the kicker position a skill position as opposed to just a biggest leg contest. It will completely change how receiving teams position guys, and change how kicking teams scheme their attacking players. Receiving teams may line up 3 receivers across the field, maybe two. And they will never just let a ball hit the ground and bounce to a stop. But no matter what, it encourages a ball in play scenario every time.

Change #2- Adopt the CFL's "no yards" rule. For those unfamiliar, there is no fair catch rule in CFL. Instead the kicking team has to give a 5 yard buffer zone in all directions (which they call a halo) to the receiving player up until the moment he touches the ball. This creates an opportunity for a return on every reception, while also giving a window for the returner to take a knee if he chooses too. In CFL, breaching that 5 yard halo results in a 15 yard penalty from the point of reception. I would adopt this.

How do you all feel about this?

Also, I would love to hear any other suggestions to make kickoffs relevant plays.

I'd love to hear from the traditionalists as well that think this is fucking stupid and feel things are fine as is, but mostly, i wanna know why you think it's fine as is

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NFL just posted a job opening for a Senior Director of Field Research and Stadium Projects.

Job Description

The Sr. Director of Fields, Field Research and Stadium Projects will lead and be on-site for all neutral site games to oversee all field-related planning and will liaise with member clubs to maintain high standards of excellence of field surface. This individual will lead all surface research, whether natural or synthetic, manage consultant experts as well as direct engagement with manufacturers, other sports leagues and the 32 clubs. In addition, this individual will collaborate on internal processes, project management, stadium and game day preparations, and issue tracking/reporting.

Responsibilities:

Field Research Workstreams and Committees

  • Liaise with Health & Safety, as well as 3rd party consultants, on improved testing/tracking options and protocols
  • Oversee NFL-NFLPA Joint Mandatory Practices for fields/playing surfaces and liaise with Management Council on updates/modifications
  • Joint Surface Committee research and support
  • Lead team responsible for overseeing and executing field maintenance plans during Halftime rehearsals at Super Bowl

International & Neutral Site Games

  • Lead field surface project plans for practice and game fields for all Neutral Site Games (International Series, Pro Bowl, Super Bowl, etc.) to ensure consistency across all games.
  • Procure and facilitate storage of all necessary equipment and tools for field preparation (e.g., paint machines, blowers, mowers, grow lights, field and bench area tarps, grow blankets, etc.)
  • Maintain and manage field equipment warehouse inventory and shipping for all neutral site and international games
  • Oversee League-hired grounds crew for all Neutral Site Games including scheduling, communications, onboarding paperwork, travel, housing, etc.
  • Oversee budget for all field projects
  • Identify, source and oversee any ancillary support required (e.g., fertilizer, sand, specialty equipment).
  • Lead efforts with Sod Farms for all neutral site games

Stadium Operations & Game Day Support

  • Primary responsibility for sharing turf/field research with clubs to aid them in field selection, replacement, preparation etc. This includes practice surfaces as well
  • Part of a team that Liaises with 32 Club Field mangers to ensure day-to-day compliance with field policies & best practices
  • Visit and review all new field installs, field issues/concerns, oversee compliance with NFL-NFLPA CBA/Joint Mandatory Practices
  • Advise Clubs that have new stadium projects and/or renovation plans on field surfaces, best practices, field dimensions, etc. and conduct on-site walkthroughs during construction phases to ensure construction details comply with the renderings
  • Review and edit relevant sections of the Game Ops manual.
  • Attend periodic in-person meetings, including the Combine, Field Managers meeting, etc.
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Watching JP this episode knowing how it would end broke me. Damn sad. Thoughts on the episode?

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