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cross-posted from: https://beehaw.org/post/17927626

The US has added several Chinese technology companies, including gaming and social media giant Tencent and battery maker CATL, to a list of businesses it says work with China's military.

The list serves as a warning to American companies and organisations about the risks of doing business with Chinese entities.

While inclusion does not mean an immediate ban, it can add pressure on the US Treasury Department to sanction the firms.

Tencent and CATL have denied involvement with the Chinese military, while Beijing said the decision amounted to "unreasonable suppression of Chinese companies".

The Department of Defense's (DOD) list of Chinese military companies, which is formally known as the Section 1260H list, is updated annually and now includes 134 firms.

It is part of Washington's approach to counteracting what it sees as Beijing's efforts to increase its military power by using technology from Chinese firms, universities and research programmes.

]...]

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cross-posted from: https://beehaw.org/post/17926173

Archived version

China has exploited the crisis in Gaza to present itself as a defender of the Palestinians and a champion of the oppressed. That posture appears to be benefiting China in its geopolitical competition with the United States—even though Beijing is guilty of human-rights abuses against a Muslim community within its own territory. The Uyghurs of China suffer mass detention, population suppression, and cultural assimilation under a brutal authoritarian regime. Yet few protests on university campuses demand their freedom, nor do major diplomatic efforts seek to alleviate their misery.

How does China get away with it? The widespread indifference to the Uyghurs’ predicament exposes double standards, not only among today’s prevailing political ideologies, but also within the international politics of human rights. And it flags the danger that China presents to the very principle of universal values.

The issue is not a matter of which group—Palestinians or Uyghurs—is more worthy of the world’s concern. Both suffer, and their suffering is awful. The Palestinian cause is important and deserves the attention it receives. Yet the Uyghurs could use some outrage too. Isolated in remote Xinjiang, their historical homeland in China’s far west, the Uyghurs have no hope of defending themselves against Beijing’s repression without support from the international community.

[...]

Even Mahmoud Abbas, the leader of the Palestinian Authority, took Beijing’s position on Xinjiang during a visit to China in 2023. In a joint statement he issued with China’s leader, Xi Jinping, Abbas asserted that Beijing’s policies toward Muslims in Xinjiang have “nothing to do with human rights and are aimed at excising extremism and opposing terrorism and separatism.”

[...]

“The suffering of Palestinians reverberates with a familiar pain,” Rayhan Asat, a Uyghur human-rights lawyer, recently wrote on the website of Dawn, an organization dedicated to human rights in the Middle East. “The dehumanization of the Palestinian people and the collective punishment they endure from Israel’s war have shattered the very fabric of their society, much like what China has inflicted upon my [Uyghur] people.” The Georgetown scholars Nader Hashemi and James Millward, in a recent essay on the same site, weave a parallel narrative of colonization, repression, (sometimes violent) resistance, and more repression. That world leaders deny the true brutality of one group’s repression or the other—depending on their geopolitical perspective—“reveals the hole at the heart of the supposedly rules-based international order,” they wrote.

[...]

Xinjiang was conquered in the mid-18th century by the Qing dynasty (around the same time the British were marching on India) and then claimed by the current People’s Republic of China after its formation in 1949. Now the Communist Party insists that Xinjiang is an integral part of China. Beijing has imposed its political system and Chinese language and culture on the Uyghurs, who are a Central Asian people and speak a language related to Turkish. The community of less than 12 million is also under pressure from an influx of migrants (you could call them “settlers”) from the dominant Han Chinese ethnic group. Official census data from 2020 show that the Han population in Xinjiang expanded by 25 percent over the preceding decade, while the number of Uyghurs grew by only 16 percent.

[...]

[China's] Xi Jinping] has greatly intensified repression of the Uyghurs in recent years in an effort to tighten his control of the region. A million or more Uyghurs were arbitrarily detained in “reeducation camps” and then imprisoned or pressed into a system of forced labor. The Israelis keep the Palestinians something of a people apart; Xi seeks to assimilate the Uyghurs into a broader “Chinese” identity by suppressing their language, history, and religious life. The Australian Strategic Policy Institute described the strategy as a “systematic and intentional campaign to rewrite the cultural heritage” of the community. Perhaps the most chilling element of Beijing’s program is a concerted effort to curtail the growth of the Uyghur population through forced sterilization and other means. The pressure has contributed to a sharp reduction in the number of Uyghur births. The goal of these policies, as one Chinese official put it, is to “break their lineage, break their roots.”

[...]

The Chinese government denies that it commits these human-rights abuses in Xinjiang and insists that it is merely rooting out terrorism. A concerted propaganda campaign on state-owned media platforms presents Xinjiang as a model of peaceful economic development. Meanwhile, Beijing has erected a police state that has effectively sealed off the region from international scrutiny. With journalists, activists, and officials from international agencies unable to freely investigate or monitor conditions, the stream of stories and images that might fuel anger is limited, and the Uyghurs’ plight is kept largely out of sight. Beijing’s “slow, horrifying obliteration of cultures and peoples,” Hannah Theaker, a historian of Xinjiang at the University of Plymouth, explained to me, “does not produce images of destruction that are likely to seize attention in a crowded news environment.” By contrast, she said, “the horror of Gaza is unfolding in real time to the international public eye.”

[...]

Still, the evidence of Chinese abuses is substantial, and the reasons for ignoring it run deep into ideologies about the injustices of a postcolonial world, at least among some elements of the political left. Israel, from this viewpoint, is an outgrowth of European colonialism; it represses and displaces a local people, with the backing of the United States, which is seen as the successor to the empires of the West. China doesn’t fit neatly into this narrative. As a socialist state (or so many believe) also victimized by Western imperialism, China is perceived by elements of the left as less malign than Israel, however terrible its human-rights abuses might be.

[...]

The Uyghur cause is also hampered by the hard realities of Chinese global wealth and power. Unlike Israel, which is largely diplomatically isolated beyond a handful of major supporters, China is a growing force in international diplomacy. Many world leaders’ silence about Xinjiang has, in effect, been purchased. These governments know that China could cut off the gravy train of aid, investment, and financing if they publicly criticized Beijing’s mistreatment of the Uyghurs. Imran Khan, the former prime minister of Pakistan, admitted as much in a 2021 interview. Asked why he criticizes the West’s attitude toward Muslims but not China’s abuse of the Uyghurs, he responded, “Whatever issues we have with the Chinese, we speak to them behind closed doors. China has been one of the greatest friends to us in our most difficult times. When we were really struggling, our economy was struggling, China came to our rescue.”

[...]

China has aimed to capitalize on the turmoil in Gaza in order to win international support in its geopolitical competition with the United States, especially in the global South. Beijing’s diplomats have vociferously supported the Palestinians throughout the Gaza conflict and carefully avoided criticism of Hamas and its October 7 atrocities against Israeli civilians, in sharp contrast to Washington’s backing of Israel, which is widely unpopular around the world. The strategy has succeeded in bolstering China’s image. A survey of public views in the Middle East by Arab Barometer found that China’s standing in the region has risen since the Gaza crisis began, while the U.S. is seen less favorably.

[...]

The fact that China’s leaders even attempt to champion the Palestinians while treating Muslims in their own country as enemies of the state is an indication of how steep the Uyghurs’ climb will be to win international support and sympathy. For now, advocates for the Uyghurs will find it hard to overcome this combination of ideological certainties and raw Chinese political and economic power. The Uyghurs will remain outsiders to the global outrage machine, and some injustices will be considered less unjust than others.

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Taiwan suspects a Chinese-owned cargo vessel damaged an undersea cable near its northeastern coast Friday, in an alleged act of sabotage that highlights the vulnerabilities of Taipei’s offshore communications infrastructure.

The ship is owned by a Hong Kong-registered company whose director is a mainland Chinese citizen, the Financial Times reported Sunday. An unidentified Taiwanese official cited in the report described the case as sabotage.

The incident followed another Chinese vessel’s suspected involvement in the breakages of data cables in the Baltic Sea in November. While fishing trawlers are known to sometimes damage such equipment, nation states have also been accused of deliberate sabotage, although it can be difficult to prove.

“This is why Taiwan needs to build its telecommunication resilience, and strengthen its situation awareness in the surrounding waters,” said Sheu Jyh-shyang, assistant research fellow at Taiwan’s Institute of National Defense and Security Research. “Otherwise, the system would be easily undermined, and it would be difficult to hold the suspect accountable.”

[...]

The damage didn’t affect connection because data was immediately rerouted to other cables, Taiwan’s Chunghwa Telecom Co. said in a Saturday statement. The company co-owns the cable system along with the AT&T Inc. in the US and regional operators including Japan’s Nippon Telegraph & Telephone Corp. and China Telecom Corp., according to the FT.

Taiwan has asked South Korea for help with the investigation as the ship is due to arrive in Busan in the coming days, according to a Taiwanese national security official.

The integrity of undersea cables has been a rising security concern in Taiwan, which China claims as its territory and has threatened to take with force if necessary. As recently as in 2023, telecommunication services in Taiwan’s Matsu Islands were disrupted for months after Chinese fishing vessels cut the cables.

[...]

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cross-posted from: https://beehaw.org/post/17914475

[Here is the archived link to the original report by the South China Morning Post (the SCMP is based in Hong Kong and owned by Chinese technology company Alibaba)]

China’s ideology tsar Cai Qi has asked the nation’s propaganda officials to step up promotion of China’s economic achievements – just weeks after a number of analysts criticised the country’s performance.

“[Officials] should adhere to the correct orientation of public opinion, strengthen economic promotion and management of expectations, improve the ability to respond to public opinion, and create a united and progressive mainstream public opinion,” Cai Qi told a conference attended by the country’s propaganda chiefs on Friday and Saturday.

Cai, who ranks fifth in the ruling Communist Party hierarchy, is a member of the powerful Politburo Standing Committee and director of the party’s general office, making him President Xi Jinping’s chief of staff.

Cai is responsible for China’s ideology, culture and internet regulation.

According to a report by state news agency Xinhua on Saturday night, Cai also reminded officials of their general mission to “consolidate and strengthen mainstream ideological opinion, promote socialist core values, deepen reform of the cultural system and mechanisms, and build a more effective international communication system”.

Xinhua added that Li Shulei, head of the party’s central propaganda department, had given work orders to his subordinates based on Cai’s instructions.

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cross-posted from: https://beehaw.org/post/17912715

Transgender dancer Jin Xing’s ascent to the upper echelons of Chinese show business is extraordinary in a nation where it has become increasingly difficult for LGBTQ+ people to live openly.

The 57-year-old has been a transgender icon in China for years, admired by some of the country’s most marginalized as a rare example of both success and acceptance, even within officialdom.

But a recent series of sudden and unexplained cancelations by local authorities of appearances by her dance troupe has sparked fears Chinese leader Xi Jinping’s authoritarian drive is ensnaring the country’s most prominent openly transgender personality.

Transgender people in China often face social stigma and institutional discrimination, facing issues in looking for work or simply walking down the street without being stared at.

[...]

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cross-posted from: https://beehaw.org/post/17912670

Stop Uyghur Genocide accuses Shein of using forced Uyghur labour in its supply chains. A dossier of evidence has been presented to Shein’s legal team as the company faces scrutiny by the UK's Business and Trade Select Committee. Calls grow to block Shein’s stock market listing in London.

Lawyers representing Stop Uyghur Genocide recently submitted a critical dossier to Shein's legal team, accusing the fashion retailer of complicity in forced labour abuses linked to its supply chains in China's Uyghur region. This move comes as Shein's European legal advisor prepares to face the UK's Business and Trade Select Committee.

The dossier, which aligns with previous evidence submitted to the UK Financial Conduct Authority, suggests a significant likelihood of Shein's supply chains being tainted by forced labour in the Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region. Concerns have been raised about Shein's pending listing on the London Stock Exchange, reinforcing calls for an investigation into its labour practices.

The allegations highlight potential violations of the UK's Modern Slavery Act, with questions arising about the legality of Shein's profits under proceeds of crime laws. These claims echo similar issues encountered in the United States. Leigh Day solicitor Ricardo Gama stressed the importance of accountability and urged regulatory bodies to prevent Shein's market activities if the allegations are proven.

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China is now a country where a high-school handyman has a master's degree in physics; a cleaner is qualified in environmental planning; a delivery driver studied philosophy, and a PhD graduate from the prestigious Tsinghua University ends up applying to work as an auxiliary police officer.

These are real cases in a struggling economy - and it is not hard to find more like them.

[...]

China is churning out millions of university graduates every year but, in some fields, there just aren't enough jobs for them.

The economy has been struggling and stalling in major sectors, including real estate and manufacturing.

Youth unemployment had been nudging 20% before the way of measuring the figures was altered to make the situation look better. In August 2024, it was still 18.8%. The latest figure for November has come down to 16.1%.

Many university graduates who've found it hard to get work in their area of selected study are now doing jobs well below what they're qualified for, leading to criticism from family and friends.

[...]

Chinese graduates are being forced to change their perceptions regarding what might be considered "a good position", Professor Zhang Jun from the City University of Hong Kong says.

In what might be seen as "a warning sign" for young people, "many companies in China, including many tech companies, have laid off quite a lot of staff", she adds.

She also says that significant areas of the economy, which had once been big employers of graduates, are offering sub-standard conditions, and decent opportunities in these fields are disappearing altogether.

[...]

But many fear they'll never land a decent job and may have to settle for a role unlike what they had imagined.

The lack of confidence in the trajectory of the Chinese economy means young people often don't know what the future will hold for them.

[...]

[Edit title for clarity.]

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An unexpected development has taken place in the seven-decades-long dispute between the Tibetan exile leadership and China’s government. In early July, for the first time since 2010, Chinese authorities reportedly held direct talks with the exile Tibetan political leadership, based in Dharamsala, India. The meeting in July followed a year or more of back-channel contacts of some kind.

These talks are at only a very preliminary stage and may not last. Beijing has not confirmed that it has had contact with the exiles, and the exile leaders have downplayed any prospect of substantive outcomes, professing interest only in long-term developments. But behind these reports are signs of a larger and more intriguing shift. This is indicated, according to the exile leadership, by the fact that it was China that initiated the resumption of talks. They “are reaching out to us, it’s not us reaching out to them,” as the exiles’ Sikyong, or political leader, Penpa Tsering, has put it. Beijing, the exiles argue, now finds itself under pressure to reach a deal with the exiled Tibetan religious leader, the 89-year-old Dalai Lama, before his health declines further. If so, this would be a 180-degree reversal from the previous dynamics of the dispute, when it was the exiles who were urgently, even desperately, seeking a settlement before time runs out.

[...]

From Human Rights to Sovereignty

Since the late 1970s, the main approach pursued by the Dalai Lama, his political counterparts in Dharamsala, and his supporters around the world has been the promotion of Western-led criticisms of China’s human rights record in Tibet. These criticisms have been intended to persuade China to give Tibetans some degree of meaningful autonomy. This has not worked. Despite Western pressure and major concessions by the exiles, Beijing stonewalled previous talks with the Tibetans, cut off formal contact for some 14 years, embarked on policies in Tibet and other ethnic areas that are all but indistinguishable from forced assimilation, and now says that it will not discuss enhanced autonomy for Tibet. Given the rise of China as a global power and the increasing failure of Western governments regarding their own claimed values, the prospects of success for a values-based, Western-led approach to diplomacy with Beijing are vanishingly small.

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Taiwan's National Security Bureau (NSB) yesterday published its analysis of Chinese Communist Party (CCP) disinformation tactics last year, showing that disinformation doubled compared with 2023.

CCP disinformation seeks to undermine confidence in Taiwan’s military, US support for Taiwan and President William Lai (賴清德), the NSB said.

NSB data showed that 2.159 million cases of controversial information were reported last year, nearly double 2023’s mark of 1.329 million.

Facebook remained the platform most susceptible to disinformation, with a 40 percent increase compared with 2023, although disinformation also increased on video platforms (151 percent), forums (664 percent) and X, formerly known as Twitter (244 percent), the NSB said.

The bureau also found 28,216 questionable accounts, 11,661 more than in 2023.

[...]

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Cross posted from: https://beehaw.org/post/17890858

Archived

Here is the analyses the article refers to.

Eddie Cross, former advisor to President Emmerson Mnangagwa, has voiced concerns over the growing presence of Chinese nationals and their influence on Zimbabwe’s economy and natural resources.

Writing recently, Cross revealed that there are now over 85,000 Chinese nationals in Zimbabwe, a figure he initially questioned but was assured is accurate.

[...]

According to Cross, Zimbabwe has become a resource hub for China, likening the country to “the new Australia” for its abundant raw materials. He highlighted vast reserves of iron ore, coal, limestone, chrome, lithium, and gold as key targets for Chinese exploitation, driven by the demands of their industrial complex.

“China needs to move steel production away from home to avoid U.S. and European trade restrictions and shift polluting industries to Africa’s blue skies,” Cross argued. He also pointed out that Zimbabwe’s chrome deposits, valued at a conservative $100 trillion, and its lithium reserves are being exported with little understanding of their full worth.

[...]

Cross noted the significant environmental damage caused by Chinese operations, including open-cast mining and unregulated activities that leave landscapes resembling “a World War I battlefield.”

[...]

“The people of Marange [a region in Zimbabwe] still wallow in poverty, and the diamond fields lack basic infrastructure like tarred roads. Meanwhile, Chinese firms have amassed wealth, building headquarters in Mozambique and flying private jets,” he wrote.

Cross accused the Chinese of monopolising operations by excluding Zimbabwean workers, making it difficult to monitor production. “In 2012, I had to rely on U.S. satellite images to estimate Chinese diamond output as they employed no local staff,” he revealed.

[...]

Cross urged the Zimbabwean government to renegotiate its relationship with China to ensure mutual benefits. “Unlike Australia, where raw materials are sold at market prices, Zimbabwe’s resources are being exploited with minimal returns,” he said.

[...]

[Edit typo.]

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Archived link

As the world watches China’s increasingly aggressive moves at sea, its quiet expansion across land borders in the Himalayas serves as a reminder that its ambitions extend far beyond the South China Sea or Taiwan. China is methodically expanding its reach, targeting small, vulnerable neighbors like Nepal and Bhutan.

Across from Nepal’s Humla District, a small, seemingly insignificant border marker near the village of Hilsa has become a powerful symbol of the region’s shifting geopolitical tides. This remote area, nestled high in the Himalayas, is now a quiet battleground where China is advancing its territorial claims in incremental, persistent ways. Fortifications have sprung up, guarded by high-tech surveillance and armed patrols, forming a stark divide between the barren Nepali side and newly robust Chinese infrastructure just across the border.

Glass-walled buildings, flood-lit roads, and modern facilities contrast sharply with Nepal’s underdeveloped and rugged terrain, signaling China’s increasing dominance in this remote region.

A 2021 fact-finding mission led by Nepali officials revealed the extent of China’s incursion, yet the report was buried—kept from public view and even high-ranking Nepali politicians.

The stark infrastructure imbalance underscores not only the widening gap between the two nations but also China’s deeper motives: to cement its hold on disputed territories and slowly push its influence beyond its borders.

For decades, Nepal provided a haven for Tibetans fleeing Chinese repression. Today, however, the stream of refugees has nearly dried up, with China’s expansion in Tibet and Xinjiang cutting off traditional escape routes and leaving Tibetans more isolated and controlled than ever. The network of surveillance and barriers erected across Tibet serves as a wall, both literally and figuratively, against those seeking refuge in Nepal. This shift is part of a broader trend under Xi Jinping, where hard-line policies in border areas seek to secure and extend China’s reach and control.

While Nepal contends with creeping encroachment, the stakes are even higher for Bhutan. In recent years, China has constructed 22 villages within Bhutan’s traditional borders, claiming about 2% of the small country’s territory. These settlements come complete with roads, military posts, and administrative centers, essentially creating new facts on the ground that are difficult to reverse.

For Bhutan, this encroachment has presented a grim dilemma: either concede these strategic lands or face the risk of escalating tensions.

**Bhutan’s situation mirrors China's gray-zone occupation strategy in the South China Sea, where it has transformed reefs and islands into fortified bases, altering the status quo and asserting control without risking direct conflict. **

[...]

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cross-posted from: https://beehaw.org/post/17875969

Archived link

Democratic capitals – from Washington to Tokyo – are concerned about their reliance on Chinese technologies and its implications for national security. And while much of the focus remains on telecommunications companies and social platforms like TikTok, and their potential misuse of personal data such as the threat that TikTok sharing these data with Chinese intelligence for disinformation and hybrid warfare, this narrow scope overlooks broader vulnerabilities that pose far more significant risks.

In response to growing levels of food insecurity driven by climate change and population growth, farmers worldwide are increasingly relying on new technologies that could help China gain a dominant position in the global food market. More radically, agricultural data could be used to unleash biological warfare against crops, annihilating an adversary’s food supply. Such scenarios pose a significant threat to national security, offering China multiple avenues to undermine critical infrastructures by devastating food availability, threatening trade and economic resilience, and destabilizing agricultural systems.

The high level of security vulnerabilities associated with smart agriculture technologies, combined with the current lack of preparedness to address them, makes these technologies a potential target for adversaries.

[...]

Technological innovation is the centerpiece of Xi Jinping’s “China Dream,” which aims to transform China into a leading global powerhouse by 2049. In this context, it is crucial to shift the attention away from merely banning Chinese-developed technologies to examining their broader security implications and developing a more meaningful national security policy and rhetoric to address their vulnerabilities. A recent report by the US House of Representatives highlighted the threats posed by Chinese drone technologies in academic research programs, not just for siphoning off raw data, but also as a backdoor to access university IT systems and knowledge repositories.

[...]

China is the world leader in the agricultural drone industry, having experienced a drone revolution in agriculture since the late 2010s. Chinese-owned drone manufacturers XAG and DJI are leaders in the smart agriculture industry. These farming-specific drones can spray, feed, and monitor crops with more precision and speed than any human. They are fast-growing and one of the most widely used industry-level drones. [...]

As part of their investment strategy, the Chinese government has made military agreements with Chinese-owned agriculture drone manufacturers and agriculture research universities. Their military-civil fusion strategy – integrating civilian technologies with military goals – enables the Chinese government to exploit critical farming data for economic and military advantages. To support sustainable food production by monitoring crop health and predicting crop yields, the drones collect alarmingly specific data about the crops and regions they are used in. For example, a drone used for corn fields in the US, one of the world’s largest corn exporters, will gather detailed information about the area’s climate, soil conditions, and susceptibility to pests and diseases. The onboard AI can analyze this data to report crop vulnerabilities and identify optimum growth conditions for these and other crops, such as rice and wheat – foods on which much of the world’s population depends. From Brazil’s soy farms to Spain’s olive groves, the Chinese government could potentially access farming data from customers in any region.

[...]

Conclusion

While concerns about critical infrastructure espionage tied to Chinese drones are growing, their potential to dominate the food market – and to conduct biological warfare against crops –remains largely overlooked. As the Chinese agricultural technology juggernaut quietly grows, policymakers must act now to safeguard national security. Nations can protect their food security and economic interests by regulating the data collected by agricultural drones, preventing third-party access, and reassessing the broader strategic implications of these technologies. Yet, for now, the data gathered by these drones is far less regulated than the data collected by TikTok. Failure to act could give China a decisive advantage in any prospective future confrontation. Left unchecked, the exploitation of smart agriculture data could leave nations vulnerable to food-based coercion. If this becomes part of China’s asymmetric warfare strategy, they are clearly playing the long game for global dominance.

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Archived

Taiwanese President Lai Ching-te pledged to strengthen the island’s defenses in the face of escalating Chinese threats, saying in a New Year’s address on Wednesday that Taiwan was a crucial part of the “line of defense of democracy” globally.

China claims Taiwan, a self-ruled democracy, is part of its territory and has vowed to annex the island by force if necessary.

“Authoritarian countries such as China, Russia, North Korea and Iran are still collaborating to threaten the international order that is based on rules. This has severely influenced the Indo-Pacific region and the world’s peace and stability,” Lai said in his address.

[...]

Lai also issued a warning about the need to uphold democracy domestically, addressing recent political controversies in Taiwan.

[...]

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cross-posted from: https://beehaw.org/post/17866252

Original article in German -- [Archived version]

German politicians from the conservative Union Party (CDU), the Freedom Party (FDP), and the Greens warn against China’s involvement in the reconstruction of Ukraine. China must definitely play no role in the reconstruction of Ukraine," said Marie-Agnes Strack-Zimmermann (FDP), Chair of the European Parliament’s Security and Defence Committee) [...] "On the contrary, it is time to end the sale of European infrastructure."

[...]

„Without China’s support, not only would Putin have not dared to attack Ukraine, he also gets military components from Chinese production", said the FDP politician. [...]

[...]

„Europe should prevent China from playing a role in the reconstruction of Ukraine, because China would create dependencies and consistently exert influence, as it does in all states", said Roderich Kiesewetter, CDU foreign policy [...] "China has a very clear interest in gaining influence in Ukraine because of the existing resources, but also the Ukrainian capabilities in the field of IT and modern warfare".

[...]

Kiesewetter pointed to China’s membership in the autocratic alliance CRINK with Russia, Iran and North Korea. Europe should prevent China from playing a role in the reconstruction of Ukraine as part of the CRINK coalition, because China would create dependencies and consistently exert influence, as it does in all states," said Kiesewter. One should not have any illusions".

[...]

The best way to prevent China’s influence in Ukraine [...] is to "give Ukraine a clear EU accession perspective and above all an invitation in a timely manner and admission into NATO as soon as security conditions allow".

The EU should also support Ukraine in making reparations claims against Russia [...] Built back better must be applied and the clear inclusion of Ukraine in the European and transatlantic security architecture. " This can only be done without China, whose goal is to destroy it and which with CRINK significantly supports and makes possible the war of aggression of Russia, so also the destruction".

[...]

Agnieszka Brugger, a member of the Green Group, said that if the Chinese leadership really meant their alleged peace efforts, "they should use their influence on Russia and North Korea to finally end the brutal violence". Brugger said: "The current actions [by China] give the impression that the Russian war of aggression and its escalation is also in China’s long-term geopolitical interest.

[...]

Party officials of the Social Democrats, the left-wing Linke, and the far right-wing AfD would support China's involvment in Ukraine's reconstruction.

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China has reportedly constructed new military outposts in the Tawang Valley, according to an analysis of high-resolution satellite images.

[...]

The satellite analysis indicates the presence of three new outposts in the region. These positions are strategically located to restrict Indian patrol routes in three directions, effectively reducing the extent of patrol areas claimed by Indian forces.

The satellite imagery underscores China’s swift construction efforts in the aftermath of the troop disengagement.

[...]

The Tawang Valley has long been a flashpoint in the broader Sino-Indian border dispute. Located near the Line of Actual Control (LAC), it has been a site of frequent tensions and standoffs between the two countries’ militaries. Both sides agreed to disengage following heightened tensions earlier in the year, with each withdrawing troops from forward positions.

However, the latest developments indicate that China has leveraged the disengagement period to fortify positions behind the LAC. Analysts believe these outposts are designed to provide a tactical advantage by monitoring and restricting Indian troop movements in the area.

China’s rapid construction of infrastructure along disputed borders is not new. Over the years, it has developed roads, airstrips, and bases in contested areas to assert its claims and improve its logistical capabilities. In Tawang Valley, these new outposts appear to follow a similar pattern, enabling Beijing to maintain control over the region despite agreements to scale back military presence.

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Videos circulating on social media show Chinese men from mainland provinces quickly obtaining marriage certificates with Uyghur women through government-supported matchmaking agencies. This represents a new wave of state-encouraged intermarriage.

Chinese men openly promote "marrying beautiful Uyghur girls" on platforms like Douyin and WeChat, causing serious concern among Uyghurs abroad.

Zumrat Dawut, a camp survivor, confirms such matchmaking companies now operate in most East Turkistan cities. Recent months have seen a marked increase in Uyghur-Chinese marriages, with some previously married Uyghur women recruiting others.

[...]

A Mekit-based company called "Hot Love," the only government-approved matchmaking service there, revealed they receive state support and financial incentives (40,000 yuan) for arranging Uyghur-Chinese marriages. They exclusively match Uyghur women with mainland Chinese men.

The Uyghur Human Rights Project's 2022 report identified this as systematic government policy promoting forced intermarriage as part of cultural genocide.

[...]

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In December 2019, a number of human rights activists met in the southeastern city of Xiamen for a dinner and discussion of social issues. From the 26th of that month, and over the weeks that followed, Chinese authorities forcibly disappeared human rights lawyer Ding Jiaxi and legal scholar Xu Zhiyong until they re-surfaced in government detention.

[...]

“The Xiamen crackdown epitomizes the Chinese authorities’ all-out assault on civil society and the cruelty with which they treat peaceful rights advocates,” said Sarah Brooks, Amnesty International’s China Director.

At least five other activists were also targeted and detained for their affiliation with the gathering. In the months that followed, all seven activists were reportedly held in “residential surveillance at a designated location” (RSDL), a form of secret incommunicado detention that places detainees at increased risk of torture and other forms of ill-treatment.

“Over the past five years, Xu Zhiyong and Ding Jiaxi – along with several of their companions – have endured arbitrary detention, torture and unfair trials merely because they attended a private gathering and discussed the civil society situation and current affairs in China.”

[...]

Both Ding and Xu have been the subject of recommendations to Chinese authorities by multiple governments and by UN officials, including High Commissioner for Human Rights Volker Türk. Yet concrete actions to demand access to these individuals or to increase the consequences to Chinese authorities for their crackdown on human rights defenders have not materialized.

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“The Chinese authorities must immediately release Ding and Xu and stop punishing all those who participated in the Xiamen gathering. The grim picture painted by their continued imprisonment should galvanize international condemnation for China’s crackdown on civil society,” Sarah Brooks [from Amnesty] said.

[...]

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Archived

A record 3.4 million young Chinese workers flocked to the civil service exam this year, lured by the prospect of lifetime job security and perks including subsidised housing as an economic slowdown batters the private sector and youth unemployment remains high.

Applicant numbers, which surged by over 400,000 from last year and have tripled since 2014, reflect the huge demand for stability from disillusioned Gen Z Chinese, and the lack of attractive options in the private sector even though local governments are struggling to pay wages due to a fiscal crisis.

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Most civil service openings have an age limit of 35 and offer subsidised housing and social insurance, a major attraction for graduates disillusioned by the paucity of private sector job opportunities.

Youth unemployment rates, which fell slightly in recent months, remain elevated compared to pre-pandemic figures as China’s economy struggles to recover amid a prolonged property sector crisis and frail consumption.

Many Gen Z Chinese “feel a strong sense of burnout and don’t know what is meaningful” after having their university years defined by the pandemic and China’s economic slowdown, said a Chinese sociology professor on condition of anonymity.

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The World Health Organization has urged China to share data on the origins of the Covid pandemic, five years on from its start in the city of Wuhan.

"This is a moral and scientific imperative," the WHO said in a statement to mark what it called the "milestone" anniversary.

"Without transparency, sharing, and co-operation among countries, the world cannot adequately prevent and prepare for future epidemics and pandemics," it added.

Many scientists think the virus transferred naturally from animals to humans, but some suspicions persist that it escaped from a laboratory in Wuhan.

China has not responded to Monday's WHO statement. In the past it has strongly rejected the lab leak theory.

In September, a team of scientists said it was "beyond reasonable doubt" that the Covid pandemic started with infected animals sold at a market, rather than a laboratory leak.

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[WHO] director general, Dr Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, said at the time that at least seven million people had died in the pandemic.

But he added that the true figure was "likely" closer to 20 million deaths - nearly three times the official estimate.

Since then, the WHO has repeatedly warned against complacency about the possible emergence of future Covid-like illnesses.

Dr Ghebreyesus has said the next pandemic "can come at any moment" and has urged the world to be prepared.

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China’s extraction of rare earth minerals in Myanmar has reached unprecedented levels, according to a report by Irrawaddy, which said the plunder of minerals had caused an “environmental catastrophe” in Kachin state.

Chinese customs data revealed a “staggering 70% growth in imports” in 2023, with shipments reaching 34,241 metric tons.

It suggested China was exploiting the country while it is engaged in the worst civil strife since independence, saying “Beijing’s aggressive stockpiling strategy extends far beyond its domestic requirements” and that “China is hoarding resources to weaponize them against potential future sanctions.”

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Chinese companies said to be operating via “a complex web of local proxies and shadowy partnerships, had expanded operations by over 40%, to the point where Myanmar is now “China’s primary source of heavy rare earths, supplying approximately 40% of crucial elements like dysprosium, yttrium, and terbium.

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Local communities had complained of severe health impacts – skin diseases, respiratory problems and internal organ damage. But their concerns were ignored by the ruling junta, because it “depends on Chinese support for survival.”

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The report also says:

The human cost is equally devastating. Indigenous communities in Kachin have been displaced from their ancestral lands, their traditional farming areas transformed into toxic mining zones. The Business and Human Rights Resource Center documents numerous violations, including forced relocations, labor abuses, and the destruction of cultural heritage sites. Yet these abuses continue unchecked, hidden from international scrutiny by Myanmar’s isolation.

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Archived link

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Debt and overinvestment have caused productivity decline and deflation. With debt levels soaring to 350% of gross domestic product (GDP), each yuan injected into the economy yields diminishing returns. Adding to the challenge is overinvestment of nearly 45% of China's GDP funneled into projects that now face declining domestic demand. This flood of excess capacity has led to deflationary pressures in both producer and consumer prices.

China's property market, once an anchor of the country's wealth, has become a liability, with more than 60 million empty units. Property represents about 60% of a Chinese family's net worth, compared to 27% in the U.S., eroding consumer confidence. Efforts to boost domestic consumption have largely fallen short. Unlike in the U.S., where lower interest rates typically encourage consumption, the Chinese are reluctant to spend, concerned about falling property values and the absence of a strong social security net.

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Since the global financial crisis, China has rolled out five major stimulus packages. Each intervention has provided a short-term market lift coinciding with a cyclical boost to growth, but as evidenced in the last cycle of 2022, such effects are beginning to wane. Japan's "Lost Decade," beginning in the 1990s, provides a sobering parallel. Following its economic peak in the 1980s, Japan experienced long-term stagnation interspersed with brief market rallies that averaged 45% within a downward market trend.

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In China, stimulus increases supply rather than demand, leading to excess capacity, which it exports.

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Bottom line: We believe there are no quick fixes for China's economic quandary. Only a complete debt restructuring, followed by bank recapitalization and government-led redistribution will drive meaningful, positive change. It will no doubt be painful. Until China addresses the root issues—excessive debt and inefficient investment—stimulus measures may provide fleeting relief but will remain mere band-aids.

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Cross posted from: https://beehaw.org/post/17814401

Archived version

Shein, a Chinese retailer, has rapidly risen to compete with the likes of H&M and Zara — and even Amazon. But now France is leading the West''s crackdown on the questionable practices of so-called "fast fashion."

An investigation provides a deep look inside the company's working and sourcing practices.

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There is not a minute to spare on the fourth floor of the sewing workshops building [...] “Here, 20,000 items are produced per day. We handle everything, from the purchase of fabrics to the packaging of the items, including cutting. SHEIN wants us to go fast and gives us fines if we don't meet deadlines,” a foreman says. The conversation ends there. SHEIN prohibits any visits and comments from its official suppliers, explains the director.

SHEIN stays very evasive about its supply chain. The retailer relies heavily on small workshops, unlike other international brands who order large volumes from large factories. SHEIN tells Les Échos it works with 6,000 suppliers but does not publish their names and contact details. That is enough to fuel questions about its production methods.

The lunch break is an opportunity to talk to several workers in the canteen or the eateries adjoining the workshop buildings.

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74 hours a week

They all tell us about their extended working hours: “I work from 8 a.m. until noon, then from 1:30 p.m. until 5:30 p.m. and, after dinner, from 7 p.m. to 10 p.m.,” a seamstress says. The evening is free once a week, either on Saturday or on Sunday. That's a total of 74 hours of work per week.

Under Chinese Labor Law, weekly working hours are limited to a maximum of 44 hours, with 36 additional hours allowed per month. In reality, the textile industry often goes beyond that. What about holidays at SHEIN? One Sunday per month. "If I need more, I can ask my boss but it means I won't earn anything," explains a worker, specifying that she has no contract or social benefits.

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All the workers here are migrants coming from other Chinese provinces [than Guangzhou, where the Shein factory is located] who came to find a job or a better salary. “I earn a little more than in Jiangxi [an adjoining province, north of Guangzhou],” says this 50-year-old worker. Like all the employees [...], she is paid by the piece, which encourages her to increase her hours to produce more.

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The presence of a very young girl among the three workers soon catches the eye. “I sort out the clothes according to their size then I put labels on them,” she explains. “I arrive around 9 a.m. and leave around 10 p.m. depending on overtime.” She says she earns 0.30 yuan per piece (5 cents) and has worked here since she left middle school last summer. How old is she? “My daughter is 16 and just comes to give me a hand,” her mother, who packs blouses on the side, quickly intervenes to end the discussion.

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On its U.S. website, the retailer briefly addressed modern slavery in a short statement and published a code of conduct reminding suppliers of their obligation to comply with all applicable laws, including child labor laws. But it is not uncommon in the textile industry for suppliers to subcontract part of the orders to small workshops with no direct link to the retailer, which makes controls difficult.

It takes a simple visit to the residential area of Nancun, where many small workshops are located, to confirm this. Across an alley, our gaze meets hundreds of bags stamped with the SHEIN logo. The manager, busy ironing long black dresses, says the order comes from “a friend”.

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"It is impossible for SHEIN to control all the workshops and its code of conduct mainly aims at responding to the concerns of foreign media and consumers," explains Huang Yan, professor at the University of Technology of South China, in Guangzhou [where the Shein factory is located]. More generally, [...] the use of small workshops do not make the protection of workers any easier.

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Archived version

One of China’s leading developers is now on the authorities’ radar for default risk. A major Hong Kong builder is asking lenders to extend loans. Another industry peer is selling an iconic but largely empty mall in Beijing.

As China’s property debt crisis enters its fifth year, there is little indication that distressed developers are finding it easier to repay debt as a slump in home sales continues. Their dollar bonds are still trading at deeply distressed levels, their debt issuance has nearly dried up, and the sector is a notable laggard in stock markets.

Alarm bells went off again in recent weeks, when the banking regulator told top insurers to report their financial exposure to China Vanke to assess how much support the country’s fourth-largest developer by sales needs to avoid default.

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"While recent government policies have helped to arrest the speed of decline, it could take another one or two years for the sector to bottom,” said senior credit analyst Leonard Law at Lucror Analytics.

“Against this backdrop, we can’t rule out the possibility of some more defaults next year, albeit the overall default rate should be much lower than before.”

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The [Chinese government's] rescue measures adopted so far have focused on preventing a collapse in property prices, protecting owners of unfinished apartments and using state funds to help absorb excess supply.

At the same time, policymakers chose to look on as former industry behemoths China Evergrande Group and Country Garden Holdings became defaulters.

This is why the banking regulator’s queries over insurance firms’ exposure to Vanke’s bonds and private debt have drawn much attention. The insurers conducted similar checks in March as fears grew over the builder’s repayment risks.

Separately, Vanke executives have visited several insurers in the past few weeks, urging them not to exercise put options on some private debt that will soon become open to them.

“If there is no turnaround in property sales, asset disposals remain slow in a weak property market, and financial institutions become more cautious and require additional collateral, we believe Vanke could see a liquidity shortage sooner than expected,” Jefferies Financial Group analysts, including Ms Shujin Chen, wrote in a note.

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Vanke’s dollar bond due May 2025 dropped about 10 US cents in the past week to around 80 US cents on the dollar, the biggest weekly decline in more than a year. Its 2027 note also slumped to 49 US cents, signalling investor doubts about full redemption.

Vanke’s woes come at a time when capital markets continue to show weak investor confidence in the sector: mainland Chinese and Hong Kong developers have issued US$67.3 billion (S$91.3 billion) of bonds in 2024, putting the market on track for its smallest annual issuance in at least in a decade.

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In another worrying development, distressed Hong Kong builder New World Development is asking banks to postpone the due dates of some bilateral loans, a move that deepens concerns over its ability to service one of the heaviest debt loads of its kind.

Controlled by the family empire of tycoon Henry Cheng, the developer had total liabilities of HK$220 billion (S$38.4 billion) at the end of June and recorded its first annual loss in two decades.

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"Hong Kong developers are facing a double-whammy in the current down cycle,” said Mr Daniel Fan, credit analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence.

“China’s property market, where many of them are involved, shows no sign of a strong recovery, while Hong Kong’s market correction is still ongoing.”

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